Aircraft aftermarket scarcity
High and direct. FY2025 (reported 2026-02-26): Civil Aerospace underlying operating margin 20.5% (from 16.6%); large engine flying hours +8% in 2025, guided to 115-120% of 2019 levels in 2026; shop visits guided to 1,480-1,550 in 2026 after a >50% increase over three years; MRO capacity expanded in Derby, Dahlewitz, Singapore plus Beijing (BAESL) and Istanbul (Turkish Technic, by end-2027) JVs; group FY2026 guidance £4.0-4.2B underlying operating profit.
- Evidence
- Company press release fetched directly. Note the two-sided evidence: current shop-visit intensity supports the theme, but management's own mid-term guide of 1,300-1,400 visits on time-on-wing gains is a disclosed, dated path to demand moderation.
- Materiality
- disclosed — Civil Aerospace segment results, flying-hour indices and shop-visit counts are disclosed in the fetched FY2025 release.